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Continue reading →: Six Names Just Started Moving Together, And Cybersecurity Is An Interesting BasketI found this one backwards. I wasn’t screening for a sector story, I was pulling research on TENB for a piece, and when I went to check its technical setup I noticed it wasn’t alone. Six names show up top decile relative strength, trend confirmed, all within about 2 to…
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Continue reading →: Astera Labs: The AI Connectivity Toll Booth Is Real. So Is The Price You’re Paying For It.I didn’t come to Astera off a momentum screen, I went looking directly at the connectivity layer of the AI buildout, because it’s the part of the story that’s easiest to get backwards. Everyone can recite the GPU capex numbers; fewer people have looked at the plumbing that has to…
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Continue reading →: The Week the AI Trade Broke, and Why the Data Says “Rotation,” Not “Recession”Everyone saw the crash and reached for the scariest word. The tape was more specific, and more useful. Here’s what actually happened, and the fork we’re now standing at. For two days the market did the thing that makes people panic. The entire semiconductor complex, the group that had led…
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Continue reading →: Ligand Pharmaceuticals: The Bull Case Is A Biotech ARM, The Bear Case Is Just Another Royalty TrustWhat The Chart Is Saying: At The Highs, On Financing Fuel The tape and the filings tell the same story, and it isn’t a fresh breakout. Source: TradingView Over the past twelve months LGND has run from a 52-week low of $112 to a 52-week high of $306, close to…
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Continue reading →: Biotech Is the Rate-Cut Trade in DisguiseA week ago I wrote that leadership had left the mega-cap “generals” and split into two baskets, semiconductors (velocity) and regional banks (breadth). That’s still true. But the dashboard has been quietly flagging a third group climbing the leaderboard, and this week it’s undeniable: biotech is now the deepest pocket…
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Continue reading →: The Disinflation Trade Has a New Address: GenomicsI don’t have a thesis about genomics. I have a dataset and this week it started pointing at the same place. The motto here is distrust the story, and let the data tell you where it’s already moving. So I’m not going to open with a narrative about CRISPR curing…
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Continue reading →: MaxLinear: The AI Optical Story Is Real. And A 6-Bagger Has Already Paid For ItHow I Found It, And Why It’s Timely I didn’t start with the story; I started with the tape. MaxLinear (MXL) surfaced at the top of a momentum-breakout screen across the Nasdaq, a stock that had spent two years dead in the mid-teens and then exploded to ~$100 in a…
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Continue reading →: Forget the Macro Narrative. Look at the Cross-Section.Jim Simons built the most successful fund in history on a quiet act of disrespect: he refused to believe the story. No theses about the Fed, no convictions about where oil “should” trade. Just data, oceans of it, and the discipline to let the numbers say something he hadn’t already…

