(Photo credit: James Lee) Presently, the main doubt tormenting me is whether we are already in a long-term bear market or not. Everybody seems to hold the view that we are still some time away from it, and this is, precisely, what worries me. One of the most interesting facts about economic recessions and bear… Read More A Recession is coming… Or is it already here?
Summary Trade tensions are boosting the USD. Trade tensions and debt crackdown are depressing the Chinese market. Fundamentally, China remains a long-term bet and the time for asset rotation might be approaching. (Photo credit: Gage Skidmore) Let’s face it. China is on the rise; it is already one of the centers of a multi-polar world. However, trade… Read More China, U.S. Tension Is An Opportunity To Boost Your Portfolio For The Long Term
Photo credit: Gage Skidmore On a macro level, Trump’s tax reform is the topic of the moment. Basically, if approved, it will be positive in the short to medium term, but it will raise high risks for the future of the world economy. The fiscal program seems designed in a way that will increase the… Read More Trump’s tax reform is the tipping point for the future of the world
The market atmosphere is changing. The French election brought an end to another chapter of the European saga. It is time to reevaluate my investment plays. Most companies I own have good perspectives for future growth, but I don’t mind reducing positions in 2 or 3 stocks, especially, if they might face macro headwinds. Additionally,… Read More The Aftermath Of The French Elections: Revisiting Investment Plays
(Image: A. Davey) The big picture Before embarking on stock picking exercises, let’s take a look at the macro environment. The general market is still living under the weight of several uncorrected excesses and it has only been authorities’ intervention that has kept the whole system together. Now and then, the financial system look at… Read More How to take advantage of a global mess? Burberry Group plc
A silent war is unfolding in Europe and its outcome will define the acceleration or the reversal of the current disintegrative tendencies.… Read More This silent war will shape the future of Europe
The current market lacks conviction but there is a slightly positive bias under way. Right now, it might sustain the current trend or be disrupted by some negative development. We analyze both cases and try to adapt our portfolio to further developments. [Picture by Pete Bellis] At this point into 2016, the uncertainty is so huge that trying to outguess the… Read More A trendless market is a treacherous one: Market Outlook