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Continue reading →: Quick thoughts on the GameStop debaclePhoto credit: Mike Mozart The GameStop episode is not about valuation. It is about supply and demand. With 130% short interest and what seems to be a volume of puts issued way bigger than the available float, it seems like a bad case of an overcrowded trade that got squeezed.…
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Continue reading →: Bitcoin is a threat to the US dominanceThe monetary architecture that rules the world is one of the most important pillars of US dominance. And the US dollar is one of its most important tools. The reserve currency of the world has allowed the use of policies not permitted to other countries. The privilege of issuing currency…
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Continue reading →: Tesla: Learning from experiencePhoto Credit: Open Grid Scheduler Prelude There are two sides to the Tesla story. The first is the stock price, and the second is the underlying business. They seldom seem to reconcile. For a while, it seemed like Tesla’s stock price was in a bubble. To my best knowledge, both…
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Continue reading →: Framing The Macro Scenario For The Post-COVID-19 WorldMost market pundits take GDP and inflation statistics at face value. They shouldn’t. Likely, the economic scenario is more benign than anticipated. That leaves us looking for pockets of value in a market populated with overstretched valuations. Now that there seems to be a vaccine on the way, we should…
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Continue reading →: Intel Has Kept Profitability At The Expense Of All The RestPhoto credit: Masaru Kamikura The title kind of says it all. Intel (INTC) has kept profitability when compared with AMD (AMD) and Nvidia (NVDA). For instance, Intel is still more profitable than Nvidia and AMD. During the last couple of years, AMD and Nvidia were able to more than double…
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Continue reading →: Dissecting Intel, NVidia and AMDPhoto credit: Diogo Torres Silvestre During the last couple of years, chipmakers have been star stocks. In the same period that the S&P 500 rose 57%, AMD put on an impressive 2,576% run, Nvidia rose close to 2,000%, while Intel rose 59%. (Source: Seeking Alpha) This chart tells us that…
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Continue reading →: Is AMD a rational buy at the current price?Photo credit: Fritzchens Fritz The narrative Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has been a star stock for the last couple of years. In the same period that the S&P 500 rose 56%, AMD put on an impressive 1251% run. Basically, AMD mixes a turnaround story with a growth narrative. (Source: Seeking…
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Continue reading →: Dissecting Berkshire’s new position in Barrickphoto credit: BorsheimsJewelry These days, everyone is riding on the back of Berkshire’s (BRK.A) (BRK.B) recent Barrick (GOLD) position. Gold bulls see it as a victory indicating that grandpa Buffett, finally, subsided to the evidence that America is doomed, and he needs a hedge. Gold bears, on the other hand,…
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Continue reading →: The First Hole In The U.S. DollarSummary The EU countries reached a deal for an economic recovery plan. The amount will likely be insufficient. However, the way it is structured opens interesting possibilities, and it might be a threat to the dollar. Photo credit: Christine und Hagen Graf The EU has just announced the deal for an economic…
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Continue reading →: Micron: Turning The Corner, Without No One Noticing It.Summary The company missed the COVID-19 play, even though the work-at-home relies on data usage and storage, which suited Micron. Business practices seem to justify the outcome so far. But, one can make the case that this will change. Early indicators seem to suggest that we are at a turning…



