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Continue reading →: Earnings Digested: Santander Presented a Set of Good Results in 1Q15
Santander presented earnings 32% higher year over year. There were two main contributors for this result: Higher gross income: Lower loan-loss provisions: The results indicate that Santander is clearly on a normalization cycle. As I said before, the return on equity will be lower than during the pre-crisis period for…
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Continue reading →: Spreadsheets for my Valuation on Adidas
For 2018, I am considering the following baseline scenario for Adidas: Sales growth around 7% per year; Profit margin near 5%; Multiples between 25x and 20x earnings. You can read my full thesis and valuation on the stock here But the main reason why I am writing is the following:…
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Continue reading →: Tesla was almost sold to Google: Shouldn’t this be a warning about Tesla valuation?
Allegedly, Elon Musk approached Google (GOOG) in order to sell Tesla (TSLA) back in 2013. At the time, Tesla was having a hard time in materializing sales due to several problems in the car (Source: Bloomberg). The thing here is the fact that Tesla was in a situation so frail,…
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Continue reading →: Nokia is staging a comeback to the Smartphone arena: The rumors are getting stronger
A couple of weeks ago, I’ve wrote an article for TalkMarkets where I defended the idea that Nokia (NOK) could be pursuing a return to the smartphone arena. At the time I argued that Nokia should return to the smartphone industry through a large or a small acquisition. Now, we…
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Continue reading →: Getting up to date on 2 weeks out of the market
I haven’t had much time to update the blog or to write about stocks since I have been travelling through Spain during the last weeks. However, the last 2 weeks were rich on market developments. One good example is the Nokia’s acquisition of Alcatel Lucent. I have been trying to…
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Continue reading →: Warren Buffett Sees Potential In Germany, I See A Moat In Adidas
Warren Buffett (BRK-A) has started to buy in Europe, more specifically in Germany. He stated that Germany is a great country, with a vigorous and productive economy. Therefore, we shouldn’t be surprised that he bought a German supplier of motorcycle equipment and he may be up for more (Source: Fortune).…
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Continue reading →: Why Apple Has A Shot In The Electrical Vehicle Market But It Won’t Be Overnight
Long term stock picking is not about being right about the next line of products for a given company. In my view, it is about understanding how an organization works and thinks. This way we can measure the organization’s ability to build great products and services. When you look from…
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Continue reading →: Is Nokia Going To Connect People Again?
Photo credit: Are Sjøberg The plot Rumor has it that Sony (SNE) is looking to sell the Xperia unit (original source: Reuters). Tomi Ahonen in his Communities Dominate Blog , argued that Nokia (NOK) could be one of the most suitable buyers for the Sony smartphone unit. Tomi Ahonen estimated that…
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Continue reading →: Amazon: Should Investors Sleep Well?
Stocks are often evaluated by how the underlying business might perform in the future rather than how things are going right now. Therefore, companies whose main markets or products are under threat tend to have their stock price depressed. On the other hand, companies in new markets with huge growth…
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Continue reading →: Game theory: Why Varoufakis is wrong and there won’t be a deal soon.
Yanis Varoufakis have stated several times that soon there will be an agreement between the EU and Greece about the financing matters. He has based his opinion on the fact that both have more to lose if they don’t reach an agreement. Mr. Varoufakis has even used game theory to…
Hi Fren,
Pepe Maltese
I used to trade inside the machine. Now I just raid it.
I publish two high-conviction setups daily — one momentum, one turnaround — filtered through tape structure, volume shifts, and misaligned narratives.
Some of these turn into full trades. A few evolve into deeper stories. The rest get cut.
This isn’t education. This is intelligence.
I don’t run ads. I don’t sell dreams. I track price, watch structure, and call bullshit when the story breaks.
Follow the setups. Fade the noise. Stick it to the man.
Let’s connect
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