In my opinion, the crypto market and the stock market will behave differently in the coming economic recession. While the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy will have an impact on both markets, crypto will be highly sensitive to it, while stocks will be more affected by the economic cycle.
The crypto market is a relatively new and untested market, but it is highly sensitive to changes in monetary policy. As the Federal Reserve pivots from hawkish to dovish, crypto assets will be quick to pick up on the cues and may see a positive reaction.
On the other hand, stocks are closely tied to the economic cycle, which tends to lag the monetary cycle. As the economy underperforms, earnings will contract and this will punish stocks in the market. This is why stocks may experience more volatility and longer to recover than crypto in the coming recession.
It is important to keep in mind that while the crypto market may be less affected by the recession, it is still a highly speculative market and investors should be cautious. On the other hand, stocks may be more stable in the long-term but will experience more volatility in the short-term.
In conclusion, both crypto and stocks will be affected by the economic recession, but in different ways. Crypto will be highly sensitive to monetary policy changes, while stocks will be more affected by the economic cycle. As an investor, it is important to understand these differences and make informed decisions.