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Continue reading →: Baidu: A rare value & growth stockBaidu keeps appearing in both my value and growth screeners. The stock got crushed at the end of 2018 Chinese debacle, and it is yet to recover. The pros and cons of this stock suggest that this might be an interesting investment. (Featured image: Simone Brunozzi) Baidu (BIDU) keeps showing…
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Continue reading →: MMT is a cool, dangerous ideaMMT is attracting a lot of attention due to the proximity of the 2020 Presidential election At its core, MMT assumes a different money origin, which has repercussions in the way we interpret budget deficits and debt. The theory is an interesting exercise, but the risk of turning sour should…
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Continue reading →: Barrick and Newmont reached an interesting dealIn hindsight, it seems like Mark Bristow used the opening provided by the Newmont (NEM)-Goldcorp (GG) merger, to force a Barrick (GOLD) controlled Joint-Venture. The last couple of months have been heated in the gold industry (GLD), with the Barrick-Rangold merger taking the spotlight, followed by the Newmont-Goldcorp deal. Once…
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Continue reading →: Algos and ETFs might give stock pickers a new lifeSummary Algos and ETFs became a significant part of the market infrastructure. That has changed the market rhythm, and it has amplified certain behaviors. Those changes might be the opening that stock pickers needed to be back on the action. Picture: DocChewbacca Algorithms have been responsible for changing the market…
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Continue reading →: We Are Heading Into Another Minsky MomentSummary Stability is perceived as something positive in financial markets. However, too much stability breeds complacency and risk leveraging, which results in instability. We are headed to one of those rollercoaster moments. Most people think that financial stability is good. Actually, stability is bad for financial markets. Long periods…
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Continue reading →: Alibaba: The Christmas rout brought a risk/reward gift for bold investorsChina is still one of the fastest growing economies in the world. Even the weakness provoked crackdown on debt should be a long-term positive. E-commerce is still one of the most disruptive sectors in world’s economy, and Alibaba is a giant in this space. The current market rout has brought…
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Continue reading →: The Fed rate decision is a tipping point for the Global economySummary The quantitative tightening and interest rate hikes have had a negative effect on the world economy, except in the US. A further hike would end up putting even more pressure on EM economies. Sooner or later, that will spill over to the US. Financial turbulence is also suggesting that…
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Continue reading →: Why does trend-following work?
Maybe a more suitable title could have been: “Does trend-following being profitable makes sense?” Many traders don’t care about the reasons why they achieve profitable strategies out of trend-following techniques. They don’t want to know. For them, it suffices to keep making money out of them. For me that doesn’t work,…
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Continue reading →: Macro Observations: The trade war doesn’t mean a trade surplusPhoto Credit: PAS China President Trump has been promoting a trade war with China. His defenders argue it is time to rebalance what has been a win-lose trade relationship. Although there are positives in getting cheap goods from China that the trade balance can’t capture, it is true that China’s…
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Continue reading →: A Recession is coming… Or is it already here?(Photo credit: James Lee) Presently, the main doubt tormenting me is whether we are already in a long-term bear market or not. Everybody seems to hold the view that we are still some time away from it, and this is, precisely, what worries me. One of the most interesting facts…
Hi Fren,
Pepe Maltese
I used to trade inside the machine. Now I just raid it.
I publish two high-conviction setups daily — one momentum, one turnaround — filtered through tape structure, volume shifts, and misaligned narratives.
Some of these turn into full trades. A few evolve into deeper stories. The rest get cut.
This isn’t education. This is intelligence.
I don’t run ads. I don’t sell dreams. I track price, watch structure, and call bullshit when the story breaks.
Follow the setups. Fade the noise. Stick it to the man.
Let’s connect
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