Investment Gems

Summary The Fed’s move to placate the high-yield corporate bond market reinforced my conviction in the gold trade. Gold has performed very well. So well, that we are considering to take it to another level. We reviewed a set of gold producers to understand the most likely to benefit from…

Photo credit: Sam valadi The world is becoming increasingly faster, and so do markets. However, this seems to be getting a bit extreme. The market went from total euphoria in February to extreme depression in March, and now, at the beggining of April, it seems ready to come back with…

Picture credit: Federalreserve One thing is for sure, the Fed under J. Powel is a very different beast. Yes, his predecessors started the unconventional monetary policies that have become the norm. However, Powel has brought it to a whole different level by nationalizing the whole credit market (not the whole,…

Summary Assessing the duration of the lockdown is the real key to understand the impact on the economy. Industries a with high proportion of fixed costs will be more vulnerable to a long stint. We assess the possible impact of the lockdown on US automakers. Make no mistake. The current…

Photo credit: Federalreserve The credit market will be pivotal during the current crisis. In 2008, we had a problem in the credit market (Subprime mortgages), which made financial institutions move into credit tightening mode. Soon, that start cascading into the real economy. The current environment inverts that relation. The problems…

Source: Philip Taylor Gold underperformance during periods of panic is not new. If you look at the great financial crisis, you’ll see that the same happened then. The gold price peaked in July and then went on to lose 27% of its value. Source: Seeking Alpha More interestingly, gold then…

Summary A couple of weeks ago, I proposed that the virus would make an impact on the economy, and, by default, on the complacent market. Now, it seems like the virus is spreading out of China, and the biggest world economies are activating the debate around stimulus. Big organizations will…

Summary The virus seems more contagious, but less fatal than the SARS 2003 outbreak. The fact that it might be more contagious increases the likelihood of negative economic impact. With the stock market near all-time highs, we wonder if investors will maintain the confidence from end of 2019. Photo credit:…